▽Marginal Revolution 〓 Small steps toward a much better world. ●11/22 00:05 Human Challenge Trials Aren’t Riskier than RCTsby Alex Tabarrok November 21, 2024 at 7:17 am inEconomicsLawMedicineNature: Keller Scholl got out of quarantine 13 days ago, and he’s still not feeling 100%. The itchiness — far and away the worst symptom, he says — is mostly gone, and now the graduate student just feels exhausted. “I’m trying to get enough sleep,” he says.Scholl’s symptoms migh
▽Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science « Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science ●11/21 22:42 11Posted in Literature, Political Science | 11 Replies18Posted in Causal Inference, Miscellaneous Statistics, Teaching | 18 Replies44Posted in Decision Analysis, Political Science | 44 Repliessomebody on Prediction markets in 2024 and poll aggregation in 2008November 21, 2024 7:37 AMSeems hard that that would come from chance. Either it was the electorate moving. Or MC changing the weight o
